AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Catarinense - 1 Jan 31, 2026

Camboriú

Home
VS
19:30

Avaí

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Camboriú Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Avaí Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 48%
Market 35%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 43%
Asian Handicap: Away -0.75
xG: 2.93 - 0.82
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 0.8 Asian Handicap: Away -0.75
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Camboriú Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Avaí Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
44%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (10%) 3-0 (10%) 2-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-0 (7%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
Camboriú Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 25 Camboriú vs Figueiren… 1-1
Jan 23 Camboriú vs Criciúma 1-2
Jan 17 Camboriú vs Carlos Re… 1-1
Jan 14 Camboriú vs Barra 1-0
Jan 11 Camboriú vs Chapecoen… 2-0
Jan 06 Camboriú vs Santa Cat… 2-2
Oct 14 Camboriú vs Tubarão 1-0
Oct 04 Camboriú vs Criciúma 3-3
Sep 27 Camboriú vs Caravaggio 2-0
Sep 19 Camboriú vs Caravaggio 2-0
Avaí Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 25 Avaí vs Santa Cat… 3-1
Jan 22 Avaí vs Chapecoen… 1-1
Jan 18 Avaí vs Figueiren… 0-2
Jan 15 Avaí vs Carlos Re… 1-0
Jan 11 Avaí vs Criciúma 2-1
Jan 08 Avaí vs Barra 2-1
Nov 23 Avaí vs Botafogo 0-0
Nov 15 Avaí vs Remo 3-1
Nov 08 Avaí vs Vila Nova 2-2
Nov 01 Avaí vs Athletic … 2-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 19, 2023 Avaí 3 - 0 Camboriú Catarinense - 1
Feb 17, 2022 Camboriú 1 - 0 Avaí Catarinense - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Camboriú to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Camboriú Power 0
Avaí Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Camboriú Position

-1

Position Gap

2

Avaí Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.