AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paulista - A4 Feb 11, 2026

AEA

Home
VS
23:00

EC Lemense

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
AEA Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
EC Lemense Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 36%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 2.43 - 0.35
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 0.3
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
AEA Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
EC Lemense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
71%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (18%) 1-0 (15%) 3-0 (15%) 2-1 (6%) 0-0 (6%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 27%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%
AEA Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 AEA vs Grêmio Sã… 4-1
Aug 30 AEA vs XV de Pir… 2-0
Aug 23 AEA vs XV de Pir… 1-0
Aug 09 AEA vs Grêmio Pr… 1-1
Aug 01 AEA vs Oeste 1-1
Jul 23 AEA vs Monte Azul 0-1
Jul 19 AEA vs Fluminense 2-1
Jul 05 AEA vs Grêmio Pr… 2-1
Jun 27 AEA vs Oeste 2-0
Jun 18 AEA vs Monte Azul 1-0
EC Lemense Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 EC Lemense vs Tanabi 0-0
Mar 15 EC Lemense vs Monte Azul 4-2
Mar 08 EC Lemense vs União São… 0-1
Mar 05 EC Lemense vs São Berna… 2-1
Mar 01 EC Lemense vs Desportiv… 2-1
Feb 26 EC Lemense vs XV de Jau 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • EC Lemense struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
AEA Power 0
EC Lemense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

16

AEA Position

-7

Position Gap

9

EC Lemense Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.