AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paulista - A4 Feb 07, 2026

EC Lemense

Home
VS
20:00

Barretos

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
EC Lemense Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Barretos Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.71 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 0.7 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
EC Lemense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
49%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Barretos Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (40%) 1-0 (29%) 2-0 (10%) 0-1 (8%) 1-1 (6%) 3-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 9%
Over 2.5 Goals 6%
Under 2.5 Goals 94%
EC Lemense Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 EC Lemense vs Tanabi 0-0
Mar 15 EC Lemense vs Monte Azul 4-2
Mar 08 EC Lemense vs União São… 0-1
Mar 05 EC Lemense vs São Berna… 2-1
Mar 01 EC Lemense vs Desportiv… 2-1
Feb 26 EC Lemense vs XV de Jau 1-0
Barretos Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Barretos vs Colorado … 0-0
Mar 22 Barretos vs Joseense 0-1
Mar 17 Barretos vs Inter de … 3-1
Mar 12 Barretos vs Penedense 0-2
Mar 08 Barretos vs São Caeta… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • EC Lemense struggling (4L in last 5) Home
  • Barretos struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
EC Lemense Power 0
Barretos Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

EC Lemense Position

-3

Position Gap

6

Barretos Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.