AI Match Insights

League One Apr 09, 2024

Stevenage

Home
VS
18:45

Burnley

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Stevenage Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Burnley Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 41% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.30 - 0.40
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Stevenage Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Burnley Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
67%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (50%) 0-1 (20%) 1-0 (15%) 1-1 (6%) 0-2 (4%) 2-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 9%
Over 2.5 Goals 3%
Under 2.5 Goals 97%
Stevenage Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 06 Stevenage vs Exeter Ci… 1-0
Apr 06 Stevenage vs Exeter Ci… 1-0
Apr 01 Stevenage vs Charlton 0-0
Mar 29 Stevenage vs Bolton 0-0
Mar 29 Stevenage vs Bolton 0-0
Mar 23 Stevenage vs Carlisle 2-2
Mar 16 Stevenage vs Leyton Or… 0-1
Mar 16 Stevenage vs Leyton Or… 0-1
Mar 13 Stevenage vs Peterboro… 3-1
Mar 13 Stevenage vs Peterboro… 3-1
Burnley Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 06 Burnley vs Everton 1-0
Apr 06 Burnley vs Charlton 2-1
Apr 06 Burnley vs Everton 1-0
Apr 02 Burnley vs Wolves 1-1
Apr 01 Burnley vs Bolton 1-3
Mar 30 Burnley vs Chelsea 2-2
Mar 30 Burnley vs Chelsea 2-2
Mar 29 Burnley vs Cambridge… 0-2
Mar 16 Burnley vs Brentford 2-1
Mar 16 Burnley vs Brentford 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Burnley struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 23, 2023 Burnley 2 - 1 Stevenage Pro League
Dec 23, 2023 Burnley 2 - 1 Stevenage League One
Final Verdict

PRO: Stevenage to win (70% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 70% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 91
Stevenage Power 36
Burnley Power 25
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.