AI Match Insights
League One Apr 09, 2024
Stevenage
HomeVS
18:45
Burnley
AwayAI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Stevenage Win
Draw
Burnley Win
Home Win
(43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Player Score
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Combined: 41%
Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.30 - 0.40
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Stevenage Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Burnley Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (50%)
0-1 (20%)
1-0 (15%)
1-1 (6%)
0-2 (4%)
2-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
97%
Stevenage Form 6.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 06 | Stevenage vs Exeter Ci… | 1-0 |
| Apr 06 | Stevenage vs Exeter Ci… | 1-0 |
| Apr 01 | Stevenage vs Charlton | 0-0 |
| Mar 29 | Stevenage vs Bolton | 0-0 |
| Mar 29 | Stevenage vs Bolton | 0-0 |
| Mar 23 | Stevenage vs Carlisle | 2-2 |
| Mar 16 | Stevenage vs Leyton Or… | 0-1 |
| Mar 16 | Stevenage vs Leyton Or… | 0-1 |
| Mar 13 | Stevenage vs Peterboro… | 3-1 |
| Mar 13 | Stevenage vs Peterboro… | 3-1 |
Burnley Form 6.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 06 | Burnley vs Everton | 1-0 |
| Apr 06 | Burnley vs Charlton | 2-1 |
| Apr 06 | Burnley vs Everton | 1-0 |
| Apr 02 | Burnley vs Wolves | 1-1 |
| Apr 01 | Burnley vs Bolton | 1-3 |
| Mar 30 | Burnley vs Chelsea | 2-2 |
| Mar 30 | Burnley vs Chelsea | 2-2 |
| Mar 29 | Burnley vs Cambridge… | 0-2 |
| Mar 16 | Burnley vs Brentford | 2-1 |
| Mar 16 | Burnley vs Brentford | 2-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Burnley struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2023 | Burnley | 2 - 1 | Stevenage | Pro League |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Burnley | 2 - 1 | Stevenage | League One |
Final Verdict
PRO: Stevenage to win (70% confidence)
PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0
70% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%)
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- Huge position gap: 91
Stevenage Power
36
Burnley Power
25
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.