AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Catarinense - 1 Jan 19, 2023

Avaí

Home
VS
00:00

Camboriú

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Avaí Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Camboriú Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 1.55 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.2
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Avaí Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Camboriú Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (27%) 2-0 (21%) 0-0 (17%) 3-0 (11%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 14%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Under 2.5 Goals 75%
Avaí Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 26 Avaí vs Figueiren… 4-1
Feb 17 Avaí vs Camboriú 1-0
Jan 29 Avaí vs Barra 2-0
Sep 17 Avaí vs Remo 2-1
Jul 28 Avaí vs Remo 1-0
Dec 26 Avaí vs Figueiren… 2-0
Sep 29 Avaí vs Figueiren… 1-0
Camboriú Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 26 Camboriú vs Figueiren… 2-0
Mar 23 Camboriú vs Figueiren… 1-1
Feb 20 Camboriú vs Chapecoen… 1-1
Feb 17 Camboriú vs Avaí 1-0
Feb 09 Camboriú vs Barra 0-1
Feb 04 Camboriú vs Figueiren… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Camboriú in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Avaí struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 17, 2022 Camboriú 1 - 0 Avaí Catarinense - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Avaí to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Avaí Power 0
Camboriú Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Avaí Position

+1

Position Gap

3

Camboriú Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.