AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paulista - A4 Mar 12, 2025

São Caetano

Home
VS
23:00

Jabaquara

Away
AI Predictions 67.5% Confidence
São Caetano Win
67.5%
Draw
20.5%
Jabaquara Win
12.0%
Home Win (68% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 1.51 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.2
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
São Caetano Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Jabaquara Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (27%) 2-0 (21%) 0-0 (18%) 3-0 (10%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 14%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Under 2.5 Goals 76%
São Caetano Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 01 São Caeta… vs Grêmio Sã… 2-1
Jabaquara Form 5.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 08 Jabaquara vs Colorado … 2-0
Mar 01 Jabaquara vs AEA 0-1
Feb 15 Jabaquara vs Nacional … 1-0
Mar 23 Jabaquara vs Nacional … 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Jabaquara struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
São Caetano Power 0
Jabaquara Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

15

São Caetano Position

-11

Position Gap

4

Jabaquara Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.