AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
1a Divisió Feb 25, 2024

FC Santa Coloma

Home
VS
12:30

Ordino

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
FC Santa Coloma Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Ordino Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 2.85 - 0.85
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 0.8 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Santa Coloma Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Ordino Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
43%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (10%) 3-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 1-0 (7%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
FC Santa Coloma Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 10 FC Santa … vs Esperança… 6-1
Feb 04 FC Santa … vs Esperança… 6-0
Jan 28 FC Santa … vs Carroi 0-5
Jan 27 FC Santa … vs Ordino 1-1
Jan 21 FC Santa … vs Penya Enc… 0-2
Jan 21 FC Santa … vs Inter Clu… 0-0
Jan 14 FC Santa … vs Penya Enc… 2-2
Jan 14 FC Santa … vs Carroi 2-3
Dec 17 FC Santa … vs Pas de la… 3-2
Dec 10 FC Santa … vs FC Santa … 1-2
Ordino Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 18 Ordino vs Carroi 0-2
Jan 27 Ordino vs FC Santa … 1-1
Jan 21 Ordino vs Inter Clu… 1-1
Dec 17 Ordino vs Esperança… 0-3
Dec 10 Ordino vs Penya Enc… 1-0
Dec 03 Ordino vs Pas de la… 1-1
Nov 26 Ordino vs FC Santa … 2-0
Nov 12 Ordino vs Pas de la… 1-0
Oct 28 Ordino vs Esperança… 4-0
Oct 22 Ordino vs Penya Enc… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC Santa Coloma in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Ordino in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 27, 2024 Ordino 1 - 1 FC Santa Coloma 1a Divisió
Nov 26, 2023 FC Santa Coloma 2 - 0 Ordino 1a Divisió
Sep 16, 2023 FC Santa Coloma 2 - 0 Ordino 1a Divisió
May 14, 2023 Ordino 1 - 1 FC Santa Coloma 1a Divisió
Apr 30, 2023 FC Santa Coloma 3 - 1 Ordino 1a Divisió
Mar 12, 2023 FC Santa Coloma 3 - 1 Ordino 1a Divisió
Jan 29, 2023 Ordino 1 - 4 FC Santa Coloma 1a Divisió
Dec 18, 2022 FC Santa Coloma 1 - 1 Ordino 1a Divisió
Nov 13, 2022 FC Santa Coloma 1 - 0 Ordino 1a Divisió
Final Verdict

STANDARD: FC Santa Coloma to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Santa Coloma Power 0
Ordino Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

FC Santa Coloma Position

+5

Position Gap

8

Ordino Position
Home Win Rate: 63%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.