AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Mayor May 25, 2024

Moca

Home
VS
20:00

Delfines del Este

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Moca Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Delfines del Este Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 1.55 - 0.43
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.4
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Moca Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Delfines del Este Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
65%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (21%) 2-0 (17%) 0-0 (14%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 28%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Under 2.5 Goals 69%
Moca Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
May 15 Moca vs Atlántico 1-0
May 08 Moca vs Universid… 1-1
May 01 Moca vs Atlético … 0-0
Apr 20 Moca vs Delfines … 2-2
Apr 18 Moca vs San Crist… 5-1
Apr 13 Moca vs Atlántico 2-2
Mar 17 Moca vs Atlético … 2-2
Mar 09 Moca vs Universid… 2-1
Sep 23 Moca vs Atlético … 0-1
Aug 28 Moca vs Universid… 2-1
Delfines del Este Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 21 Delfines … vs Atlético … 1-9
May 16 Delfines … vs Universid… 1-1
May 12 Delfines … vs Vega Real 1-2
May 08 Delfines … vs Cibao 1-0
May 04 Delfines … vs San Crist… 3-0
Apr 20 Delfines … vs Moca 2-2
Apr 18 Delfines … vs Atlético … 1-2
Apr 14 Delfines … vs Universid… 1-2
Apr 07 Delfines … vs Vega Real 1-0
Apr 02 Delfines … vs San Crist… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 20, 2024 Delfines del Este 2 - 2 Moca Liga Mayor
May 20, 2023 Delfines del Este 1 - 1 Moca Liga Mayor
Apr 06, 2023 Moca 1 - 0 Delfines del Este Liga Mayor
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Moca to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Moca Power 0
Delfines del Este Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Moca Position

-1

Position Gap

2

Delfines del Este Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.