AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Mayor Apr 06, 2023

Moca

Home
VS
22:00

Delfines del Este

Away
AI Predictions 63.0% Confidence
Moca Win
63.0%
Draw
21.4%
Delfines del Este Win
15.6%
Home Win (63% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 1.66 - 0.93
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.9
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Moca Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Delfines del Este Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (12%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 0-0 (8%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Under 2.5 Goals 53%
Moca Form 15.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 24 Moca vs San Crist… 1-1
Apr 18 Moca vs San Crist… 2-0
Delfines del Este Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 18 Delfines … vs Universid… 0-0
Jun 25 Delfines … vs Vega Real 1-0
Mar 20 Delfines … vs Vega Real 1-2
Jul 03 Delfines … vs Vega Real 3-2
Jun 27 Delfines … vs San Crist… 0-3
May 29 Delfines … vs Vega Real 1-3
May 08 Delfines … vs San Crist… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Delfines del Este struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Moca to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Moca Power 0
Delfines del Este Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Moca Position

-1

Position Gap

2

Delfines del Este Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.