AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Catarinense - 1 Mar 02, 2024

Criciúma

Home
VS
19:30

Chapecoense

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Criciúma Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Chapecoense Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 23%
xG: 3.55 - 0.91
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 0.9
Score Prediction Analysis
Criciúma Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
10%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Chapecoense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-0 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Under 2.5 Goals 33%
Criciúma Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 24 Criciúma vs Joinville 0-0
Feb 15 Criciúma vs Brusque 1-2
Feb 12 Criciúma vs Avaí 2-3
Jan 24 Criciúma vs Concórdia 1-2
Nov 25 Criciúma vs Novorizon… 2-0
Nov 18 Criciúma vs Botafogo 3-0
Nov 14 Criciúma vs Guaraní C… 1-1
Oct 14 Criciúma vs Chapecoen… 1-2
Aug 05 Criciúma vs Avaí 1-0
Jul 17 Criciúma vs Botafogo 1-0
Chapecoense Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 10 Chapecoen… vs Joinville 2-3
Feb 07 Chapecoen… vs Marcílio … 2-1
Feb 04 Chapecoen… vs Concórdia 0-1
Jan 28 Chapecoen… vs Avaí 3-2
Nov 25 Chapecoen… vs Vitoria 3-1
Nov 17 Chapecoen… vs Ituano 0-0
Oct 29 Chapecoen… vs Joinville 5-1
Oct 24 Chapecoen… vs Avaí 2-0
Oct 14 Chapecoen… vs Concórdia 0-0
Oct 14 Chapecoen… vs Criciúma 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Chapecoense struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 14, 2023 Criciúma 1 - 2 Chapecoense Serie B
Jun 24, 2023 Chapecoense 1 - 1 Criciúma Serie B
Jan 22, 2023 Chapecoense 1 - 1 Criciúma Catarinense - 1
Sep 25, 2022 Criciúma 2 - 0 Chapecoense Serie B
Jun 11, 2022 Chapecoense 2 - 3 Criciúma Serie B
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Criciúma to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Criciúma Power 0
Chapecoense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Criciúma Position

-1

Position Gap

2

Chapecoense Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.