AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie B Oct 14, 2023

Criciúma

Home
VS
00:30

Chapecoense

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Criciúma Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Chapecoense Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.11 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Criciúma Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Chapecoense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (30%) 0-0 (27%) 2-0 (17%) 3-0 (6%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 12%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Under 2.5 Goals 86%
Criciúma Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 05 Criciúma vs Avaí 1-0
Jul 17 Criciúma vs Botafogo 1-0
Jun 24 Criciúma vs Chapecoen… 1-1
Apr 28 Criciúma vs Avaí 1-0
Apr 08 Criciúma vs Brusque 0-1
Apr 01 Criciúma vs Brusque 1-0
Mar 22 Criciúma vs Avaí 0-0
Mar 18 Criciúma vs Avaí 0-0
Mar 11 Criciúma vs Avaí 2-2
Feb 15 Criciúma vs Camboriú 0-3
Chapecoense Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 02 Chapecoen… vs Marcílio … 1-2
Aug 27 Chapecoen… vs Avaí 0-0
Jun 24 Chapecoen… vs Criciúma 1-1
Feb 21 Chapecoen… vs Marcílio … 1-0
Feb 18 Chapecoen… vs Joinville 1-1
Feb 12 Chapecoen… vs Marcílio … 3-0
Feb 09 Chapecoen… vs Camboriú 3-1
Feb 04 Chapecoen… vs Concórdia 2-2
Jan 22 Chapecoen… vs Criciúma 1-1
Sep 25 Chapecoen… vs Criciúma 2-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 24, 2023 Chapecoense 1 - 1 Criciúma Serie B
Jan 22, 2023 Chapecoense 1 - 1 Criciúma Catarinense - 1
Sep 25, 2022 Criciúma 2 - 0 Chapecoense Serie B
Jun 11, 2022 Chapecoense 2 - 3 Criciúma Serie B
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Criciúma to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Criciúma Power 0
Chapecoense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.