AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie B Jun 24, 2023

Chapecoense

Home
VS
20:00

Criciúma

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Chapecoense Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Criciúma Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 64%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.33 - 0.96
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Chapecoense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Criciúma Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (13%) 1-1 (13%) 0-0 (10%) 0-1 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 2-1 (9%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 45%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Under 2.5 Goals 60%
Chapecoense Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 21 Chapecoen… vs Marcílio … 1-0
Feb 18 Chapecoen… vs Joinville 1-1
Feb 12 Chapecoen… vs Marcílio … 3-0
Feb 09 Chapecoen… vs Camboriú 3-1
Feb 04 Chapecoen… vs Concórdia 2-2
Jan 22 Chapecoen… vs Criciúma 1-1
Sep 25 Chapecoen… vs Criciúma 2-0
Jul 31 Chapecoen… vs Vasco DA … 0-0
Jun 11 Chapecoen… vs Criciúma 2-3
Apr 23 Chapecoen… vs Vasco DA … 0-0
Criciúma Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 28 Criciúma vs Avaí 1-0
Apr 08 Criciúma vs Brusque 0-1
Apr 01 Criciúma vs Brusque 1-0
Mar 22 Criciúma vs Avaí 0-0
Mar 18 Criciúma vs Avaí 0-0
Mar 11 Criciúma vs Avaí 2-2
Feb 15 Criciúma vs Camboriú 0-3
Feb 12 Criciúma vs Joinville 1-1
Feb 05 Criciúma vs Brusque 1-1
Jan 22 Criciúma vs Chapecoen… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Criciúma in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 22, 2023 Chapecoense 1 - 1 Criciúma Catarinense - 1
Sep 25, 2022 Criciúma 2 - 0 Chapecoense Serie B
Jun 11, 2022 Chapecoense 2 - 3 Criciúma Serie B
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Chapecoense to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Chapecoense Power 0
Criciúma Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.