AI Match Insights

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Catarinense - 1 Jan 22, 2023

Chapecoense

Home
VS
20:00

Criciúma

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
Chapecoense Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
Criciúma Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 62%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.94 - 1.90
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Chapecoense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Criciúma Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 1-2 (8%) 2-2 (7%) 3-1 (5%) 1-3 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Under 2.5 Goals 29%
Chapecoense Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 25 Chapecoen… vs Criciúma 2-0
Jul 31 Chapecoen… vs Vasco DA … 0-0
Jun 11 Chapecoen… vs Criciúma 2-3
Apr 23 Chapecoen… vs Vasco DA … 0-0
Mar 20 Chapecoen… vs Concórdia 1-1
Mar 13 Chapecoen… vs Concórdia 1-1
Mar 05 Chapecoen… vs Marcílio … 1-2
Feb 20 Chapecoen… vs Camboriú 1-1
Feb 16 Chapecoen… vs Concórdia 0-1
Feb 10 Chapecoen… vs Joinville 2-1
Criciúma Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 14 Criciúma vs Concórdia 0-0
Oct 01 Criciúma vs Brusque 0-2
Sep 25 Criciúma vs Chapecoen… 2-0
Jun 17 Criciúma vs Brusque 0-1
Jun 11 Criciúma vs Chapecoen… 2-3
Sep 11 Criciúma vs Botafogo 0-0
Jul 12 Criciúma vs Botafogo 3-1
Dec 05 Criciúma vs Brusque 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Criciúma in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 25, 2022 Criciúma 2 - 0 Chapecoense Serie B
Jun 11, 2022 Chapecoense 2 - 3 Criciúma Serie B
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Chapecoense to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Chapecoense Power 0
Criciúma Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Chapecoense Position

+1

Position Gap

3

Criciúma Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.