AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Catarinense - 1 Feb 08, 2023

Brusque

Home
VS
22:00

Concórdia

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Brusque Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Concórdia Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 65%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.87 - 0.34
Key Insights
xG dominance: 0.9 vs 0.3
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Brusque Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Concórdia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
71%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (30%) 1-0 (26%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 12%
Under 2.5 Goals 88%
Brusque Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 Brusque vs Criciúma 1-1
Jan 14 Brusque vs Barra 2-0
Oct 01 Brusque vs Criciúma 0-2
Jun 17 Brusque vs Criciúma 0-1
Mar 27 Brusque vs Concórdia 1-0
Mar 23 Brusque vs Concórdia 0-1
Mar 05 Brusque vs Figueiren… 2-2
Feb 20 Brusque vs Barra 3-1
Jan 22 Brusque vs Concórdia 0-0
Jan 14 Brusque vs Figueiren… 0-0
Concórdia Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Concórdia vs Chapecoen… 2-2
Jan 22 Concórdia vs Barra 0-0
Jan 18 Concórdia vs Figueiren… 0-0
Jan 14 Concórdia vs Criciúma 0-0
Mar 27 Concórdia vs Brusque 1-0
Mar 23 Concórdia vs Brusque 0-1
Mar 20 Concórdia vs Chapecoen… 1-1
Mar 13 Concórdia vs Chapecoen… 1-1
Feb 16 Concórdia vs Chapecoen… 0-1
Feb 02 Concórdia vs Barra 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Brusque in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 27, 2022 Brusque 1 - 0 Concórdia Catarinense - 1
Mar 23, 2022 Concórdia 0 - 1 Brusque Catarinense - 1
Jan 22, 2022 Concórdia 0 - 0 Brusque Catarinense - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Brusque to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Brusque Power 0
Concórdia Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Brusque Position

+3

Position Gap

4

Concórdia Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.