AI Match Insights

Primera B Mar 17, 2024

Union San Felipe

Home
VS
21:00

Santiago Wanderers

Away
AI Predictions 41.6% Confidence
Union San Felipe Win
30.5%
Draw
27.9%
Santiago Wanderers Win
41.6%
Away Win (42% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 2.44 - 1.05
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 1.1
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Union San Felipe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Santiago Wanderers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-0 (7%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Union San Felipe Form 5.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 15 Union San… vs Santiago … 2-0
Nov 10 Union San… vs Santiago … 2-1
Aug 05 Union San… vs Santiago … 0-1
Mar 21 Union San… vs Santiago … 3-2
Santiago Wanderers Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 10 Santiago … vs Deportes … 3-3
Dec 04 Santiago … vs Deportes … 1-1
Nov 26 Santiago … vs Deportes … 1-0
Nov 19 Santiago … vs Deportes … 2-3
Nov 15 Santiago … vs Union San… 2-0
Nov 10 Santiago … vs Union San… 2-1
Aug 09 Santiago … vs Cobresal 2-0
Aug 05 Santiago … vs Union San… 0-1
Mar 26 Santiago … vs Cobresal 2-0
Mar 21 Santiago … vs Union San… 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Santiago Wanderers in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Union San Felipe struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 15, 2023 Santiago Wanderers 2 - 0 Union San Felipe Primera B
Nov 10, 2023 Union San Felipe 2 - 1 Santiago Wanderers Primera B
Aug 05, 2023 Union San Felipe 0 - 1 Santiago Wanderers Primera B
Mar 21, 2023 Santiago Wanderers 3 - 2 Union San Felipe Primera B
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Union San Felipe to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Union San Felipe Power 0
Santiago Wanderers Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.