AI Match Insights
Super Liga Jul 21, 2024
Novi Pazar
HomeVS
15:30
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
AwayAI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Novi Pazar Win
Draw
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV Win
Home Win
(51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)
GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
85%
Market
50%
Combined: 47%
Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.11 - 0.84
Key Insights
Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Novi Pazar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (16%)
0-0 (14%)
1-1 (13%)
0-1 (12%)
2-0 (9%)
2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
31%
Under 2.5 Goals
69%
Novi Pazar Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| May 24 | Novi Pazar vs Radnicki … | 2-1 |
| May 13 | Novi Pazar vs FK Sparta… | 0-1 |
| May 07 | Novi Pazar vs IMT Novi … | 0-1 |
| Apr 27 | Novi Pazar vs Radnik Su… | 1-4 |
| Apr 15 | Novi Pazar vs Radnicki … | 2-2 |
| Apr 11 | Novi Pazar vs Radnički … | 3-1 |
| Apr 07 | Novi Pazar vs FK Partiz… | 2-0 |
| Mar 08 | Novi Pazar vs FK Sparta… | 0-1 |
| Feb 25 | Novi Pazar vs Napredak | 3-1 |
| Dec 21 | Novi Pazar vs FK Sparta… | 0-1 |
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 22 | FK Sparta… vs Vojvodina | 3-0 |
| May 13 | FK Sparta… vs Novi Pazar | 0-1 |
| Mar 16 | FK Sparta… vs TSC Bačka… | 2-4 |
| Mar 12 | FK Sparta… vs Cukaricki | 2-2 |
| Mar 08 | FK Sparta… vs Novi Pazar | 0-1 |
| Feb 25 | FK Sparta… vs Vojvodina | 0-0 |
| Feb 18 | FK Sparta… vs Mladost L… | 0-1 |
| Jan 24 | FK Sparta… vs FK Crvena… | 3-1 |
| Dec 21 | FK Sparta… vs Novi Pazar | 0-1 |
| Dec 16 | FK Sparta… vs FK Crvena… | 1-4 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Novi Pazar in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2024 | Novi Pazar | 0 - 1 | FK Spartak Zdrepcev… | Super Liga |
| Mar 08, 2024 | FK Spartak Zdrepcev… | 0 - 1 | Novi Pazar | Super Liga |
| Dec 21, 2023 | Novi Pazar | 0 - 1 | FK Spartak Zdrepcev… | Super Liga |
| Mar 01, 2023 | FK Spartak Zdrepcev… | 2 - 0 | Novi Pazar | Super Liga |
| Aug 30, 2022 | Novi Pazar | 2 - 0 | FK Spartak Zdrepcev… | Super Liga |
| Apr 17, 2022 | FK Spartak Zdrepcev… | 1 - 3 | Novi Pazar | Super Liga |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Novi Pazar to win (46% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
46% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Novi Pazar Power
0
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
5
Novi Pazar Position+10
Position Gap15
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 10%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.