AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super Liga May 13, 2024

Novi Pazar

Home
VS
14:00

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Novi Pazar Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 65%
Standings 85%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.47 - 1.07
Key Insights
Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Novi Pazar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
5%
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
34%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (12%) 1-0 (12%) 2-1 (9%) 2-0 (9%) 0-1 (8%) 0-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 51%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Under 2.5 Goals 54%
Novi Pazar Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 07 Novi Pazar vs IMT Novi … 0-1
Apr 27 Novi Pazar vs Radnik Su… 1-4
Apr 15 Novi Pazar vs Radnicki … 2-2
Apr 11 Novi Pazar vs Radnički … 3-1
Apr 07 Novi Pazar vs FK Partiz… 2-0
Mar 08 Novi Pazar vs FK Sparta… 0-1
Feb 25 Novi Pazar vs Napredak 3-1
Dec 21 Novi Pazar vs FK Sparta… 0-1
Dec 15 Novi Pazar vs Radnik Su… 2-1
Dec 10 Novi Pazar vs IMT Novi … 1-0
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 16 FK Sparta… vs TSC Bačka… 2-4
Mar 12 FK Sparta… vs Cukaricki 2-2
Mar 08 FK Sparta… vs Novi Pazar 0-1
Feb 25 FK Sparta… vs Vojvodina 0-0
Feb 18 FK Sparta… vs Mladost L… 0-1
Jan 24 FK Sparta… vs FK Crvena… 3-1
Dec 21 FK Sparta… vs Novi Pazar 0-1
Dec 16 FK Sparta… vs FK Crvena… 1-4
Oct 08 FK Sparta… vs TSC Bačka… 0-2
Sep 30 FK Sparta… vs Cukaricki 0-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 08, 2024 FK Spartak Zdrepcev… 0 - 1 Novi Pazar Super Liga
Dec 21, 2023 Novi Pazar 0 - 1 FK Spartak Zdrepcev… Super Liga
Mar 01, 2023 FK Spartak Zdrepcev… 2 - 0 Novi Pazar Super Liga
Aug 30, 2022 Novi Pazar 2 - 0 FK Spartak Zdrepcev… Super Liga
Apr 17, 2022 FK Spartak Zdrepcev… 1 - 3 Novi Pazar Super Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Novi Pazar to win (46% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 46% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Novi Pazar Power 0
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Novi Pazar Position

+10

Position Gap

15

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 10%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.