AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super Liga Dec 21, 2023

Novi Pazar

Home
VS
14:00

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Novi Pazar Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 85%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 2.21 - 0.94
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.9 Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Novi Pazar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
39%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Novi Pazar Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 15 Novi Pazar vs Radnik Su… 2-1
Dec 10 Novi Pazar vs IMT Novi … 1-0
Nov 26 Novi Pazar vs Radnički … 0-4
Nov 10 Novi Pazar vs Radnicki … 0-1
Sep 17 Novi Pazar vs Napredak 2-1
Aug 20 Novi Pazar vs Radnik Su… 0-0
Aug 14 Novi Pazar vs IMT Novi … 3-4
Jul 30 Novi Pazar vs Radnički … 2-0
Apr 29 Novi Pazar vs Radnički … 0-1
Apr 06 Novi Pazar vs Radnik Su… 1-0
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 16 FK Sparta… vs FK Crvena… 1-4
Oct 08 FK Sparta… vs TSC Bačka… 0-2
Sep 30 FK Sparta… vs Cukaricki 0-3
Sep 16 FK Sparta… vs Vojvodina 2-0
Sep 03 FK Sparta… vs Mladost L… 2-1
Jul 02 FK Sparta… vs Mladost L… 0-1
May 15 FK Sparta… vs Mladost L… 2-0
Mar 25 FK Sparta… vs Vojvodina 2-0
Mar 01 FK Sparta… vs Novi Pazar 2-0
Feb 25 FK Sparta… vs TSC Bačka… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Novi Pazar in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 01, 2023 FK Spartak Zdrepcev… 2 - 0 Novi Pazar Super Liga
Aug 30, 2022 Novi Pazar 2 - 0 FK Spartak Zdrepcev… Super Liga
Apr 17, 2022 FK Spartak Zdrepcev… 1 - 3 Novi Pazar Super Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Novi Pazar to win (46% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 46% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Novi Pazar Power 0
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Novi Pazar Position

+10

Position Gap

15

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 10%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.