AI Match Insights

Super Liga Aug 30, 2022

Novi Pazar

Home
VS
14:30

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV

Away
AI Predictions 65.0% Confidence
Novi Pazar Win
65.0%
Draw
21.0%
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV Win
14.0%
Home Win (65% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 85%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 1.86 - 0.67
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.7 Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Novi Pazar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
51%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 0-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Under 2.5 Goals 55%
Novi Pazar Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 19 Novi Pazar vs Napredak 2-1
Aug 12 Novi Pazar vs Radnicki … 1-3
Jun 19 Novi Pazar vs Radnik Su… 3-1
May 29 Novi Pazar vs IMT Novi … 0-2
May 25 Novi Pazar vs IMT Novi … 1-3
May 15 Novi Pazar vs Radnik Su… 0-1
Apr 17 Novi Pazar vs FK Sparta… 1-3
Apr 11 Novi Pazar vs Radnik Su… 2-0
Apr 01 Novi Pazar vs Napredak 1-0
Feb 25 Novi Pazar vs Radnicki … 1-1
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 07 FK Sparta… vs Cukaricki 2-0
Jul 24 FK Sparta… vs Vojvodina 0-0
Jul 09 FK Sparta… vs Mladost L… 1-1
Apr 17 FK Sparta… vs Novi Pazar 1-3
Feb 25 FK Sparta… vs Cukaricki 1-2
Dec 14 FK Sparta… vs Vojvodina 2-3
Sep 18 FK Sparta… vs Cukaricki 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Novi Pazar in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 17, 2022 FK Spartak Zdrepcev… 1 - 3 Novi Pazar Super Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Novi Pazar to win (46% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 46% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Novi Pazar Power 0
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Novi Pazar Position

+10

Position Gap

15

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV Position

Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 10%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.