AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Iraqi League Mar 03, 2025

Zakho

Home
VS
17:30

Al Minaa Basra

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
Zakho Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
Al Minaa Basra Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 53%
xG: 1.30 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.2 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Zakho Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Al Minaa Basra Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (29%) 0-0 (22%) 2-0 (19%) 3-0 (8%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 13%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Under 2.5 Goals 81%
Zakho Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Zakho vs Al Najaf 1-0
Jan 24 Zakho vs Naft Mays… 1-1
Jan 15 Zakho vs Al Zawra'a 0-1
Jan 03 Zakho vs Al Karkh 2-0
Dec 01 Zakho vs Al-Karma 1-0
Nov 27 Zakho vs Al Minaa … 0-0
Oct 30 Zakho vs Duhok 2-2
Oct 25 Zakho vs Al Zawra'a 2-3
Jul 19 Zakho vs Al Najaf 0-0
Jun 23 Zakho vs Naft Mays… 2-0
Al Minaa Basra Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 08 Al Minaa … vs Al-Karma 0-2
Feb 04 Al Minaa … vs Newroz 1-5
Jan 24 Al Minaa … vs Duhok 1-1
Jan 07 Al Minaa … vs Naft 1-0
Dec 29 Al Minaa … vs Al Shorta… 1-1
Nov 27 Al Minaa … vs Zakho 0-0
Nov 02 Al Minaa … vs Al-Talaba 1-0
Oct 29 Al Minaa … vs Al Zawra'a 1-0
Oct 04 Al Minaa … vs Al Karkh 1-2
Jul 05 Al Minaa … vs Al-Talaba 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Zakho in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Al Minaa Basra struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 27, 2024 Al Minaa Basra 0 - 0 Zakho Iraqi League
Apr 30, 2024 Zakho 3 - 1 Al Minaa Basra Iraqi League
Feb 21, 2024 Al Minaa Basra 0 - 2 Zakho Iraqi League
Feb 19, 2022 Zakho 0 - 0 Al Minaa Basra Iraqi League
Oct 01, 2021 Al Minaa Basra 0 - 2 Zakho Iraqi League
Jun 21, 2021 Al Minaa Basra 3 - 1 Zakho Iraqi League
Jan 07, 2021 Zakho 2 - 1 Al Minaa Basra Iraqi League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Zakho to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Zakho Power 0
Al Minaa Basra Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Zakho Position

+7

Position Gap

15

Al Minaa Basra Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.