AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Iraqi League Apr 30, 2024

Zakho

Home
VS
15:00

Al Minaa Basra

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Zakho Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Al Minaa Basra Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 65%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.76 - 0.35
Key Insights
Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Zakho Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
47%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Al Minaa Basra Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
71%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (33%) 1-0 (25%) 0-1 (12%) 2-0 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 2-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 10%
Under 2.5 Goals 90%
Zakho Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 25 Zakho vs Al Zawra'a 1-3
Apr 06 Zakho vs Duhok 0-0
Mar 02 Zakho vs Al Zawra'a 1-0
Feb 21 Zakho vs Al Minaa … 0-2
Feb 16 Zakho vs Baghdad 1-0
Dec 31 Zakho vs Al Zawra'a 0-2
Dec 24 Zakho vs Al Karkh 0-1
Dec 14 Zakho vs Naft Mays… 0-0
Nov 04 Zakho vs Duhok 0-0
Oct 31 Zakho vs Al Najaf 1-1
Al Minaa Basra Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 14 Al Minaa … vs Al Shorta… 2-0
Apr 06 Al Minaa … vs Al Karkh 1-3
Mar 09 Al Minaa … vs Al Zawra'a 1-3
Mar 05 Al Minaa … vs Baghdad 0-1
Feb 29 Al Minaa … vs Duhok 2-0
Feb 24 Al Minaa … vs Naft 1-1
Feb 21 Al Minaa … vs Zakho 0-2
Dec 09 Al Minaa … vs Al-Talaba 0-1
Nov 03 Al Minaa … vs Al Shorta… 0-3
Oct 31 Al Minaa … vs Al Karkh 4-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Zakho in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Al Minaa Basra struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 21, 2024 Al Minaa Basra 0 - 2 Zakho Iraqi League
Feb 19, 2022 Zakho 0 - 0 Al Minaa Basra Iraqi League
Oct 01, 2021 Al Minaa Basra 0 - 2 Zakho Iraqi League
Jun 21, 2021 Al Minaa Basra 3 - 1 Zakho Iraqi League
Jan 07, 2021 Zakho 2 - 1 Al Minaa Basra Iraqi League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Zakho to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Zakho Power 0
Al Minaa Basra Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Zakho Position

+7

Position Gap

15

Al Minaa Basra Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.