AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Iraqi League Oct 01, 2021

Al Minaa Basra

Home
VS
15:00

Zakho

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Al Minaa Basra Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Zakho Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 36%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 2.51 - 1.38
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 1.4
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al Minaa Basra Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Zakho Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (7%) 2-0 (6%) 2-2 (6%) 3-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Under 2.5 Goals 30%
Al Minaa Basra Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 04 Al Minaa … vs Al-Talaba 4-2
Jun 25 Al Minaa … vs Naft 1-1
Jun 21 Al Minaa … vs Zakho 3-1
May 16 Al Minaa … vs Al Shorta… 2-3
May 11 Al Minaa … vs Baghdad 0-1
Apr 18 Al Minaa … vs Al Zawra'a 1-1
Apr 09 Al Minaa … vs Al Karkh 2-1
Jan 31 Al Minaa … vs Al-Talaba 1-0
Jan 16 Al Minaa … vs Naft 0-1
Jan 07 Al Minaa … vs Zakho 2-1
Zakho Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 25 Zakho vs Al Karkh 0-0
Jul 19 Zakho vs Naft Mays… 1-2
Jul 13 Zakho vs Al Najaf 0-1
Jun 21 Zakho vs Al Minaa … 3-1
May 17 Zakho vs Baghdad 0-2
May 11 Zakho vs Al Zawra'a 1-1
Apr 09 Zakho vs Al Zawra'a 1-2
Feb 23 Zakho vs Al Karkh 1-1
Feb 13 Zakho vs Naft Mays… 1-1
Jan 07 Zakho vs Al Minaa … 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Zakho struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 21, 2021 Al Minaa Basra 3 - 1 Zakho Iraqi League
Jan 07, 2021 Zakho 2 - 1 Al Minaa Basra Iraqi League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al Minaa Basra Power 0
Zakho Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

15

Al Minaa Basra Position

-7

Position Gap

8

Zakho Position
Home Win Rate: 25%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.