AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Segunda División Jan 20, 2025

Mirandes

Home
VS
19:30

Malaga

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Mirandes Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Malaga Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.70 - 0.70
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.7
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Mirandes Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Malaga Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (9%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Under 2.5 Goals 58%
Mirandes Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 11 Mirandes vs Huesca 1-0
Dec 22 Mirandes vs La Coruna 0-4
Dec 18 Mirandes vs Sp Gijon 1-1
Dec 18 Mirandes vs Sporting … 1-1
Dec 13 Mirandes vs Almería 1-0
Dec 13 Mirandes vs Almería 1-0
Dec 06 Mirandes vs Levante 2-1
Nov 30 Mirandes vs Santander 0-1
Nov 24 Mirandes vs Eldense 1-0
Nov 16 Mirandes vs Castellón 1-3
Malaga Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 11 Malaga vs La Coruna 1-1
Dec 21 Malaga vs Sp Gijon 1-3
Dec 21 Malaga vs Sporting … 1-3
Dec 18 Malaga vs Eldense 3-0
Dec 15 Malaga vs Burgos 0-0
Dec 15 Malaga vs Burgos 0-0
Dec 08 Malaga vs Almería 1-1
Dec 08 Malaga vs Almería 1-1
Dec 01 Malaga vs Castellón 2-0
Nov 27 Malaga vs Levante 4-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Malaga in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 24, 2024 Malaga 1 - 1 Mirandes Pro League
Aug 24, 2024 Malaga 1 - 1 Mirandes Segunda Divisi…
May 13, 2023 Malaga 2 - 0 Mirandes Segunda Divisi…
Aug 27, 2022 Mirandes 1 - 3 Malaga Segunda Divisi…
Jan 30, 2022 Mirandes 3 - 0 Malaga Segunda Divisi…
Aug 16, 2021 Malaga 0 - 0 Mirandes Segunda Divisi…
Final Verdict

PRO: Mirandes to win (73% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 73% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_25+ (68%) SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • Power: 28 vs 0
Mirandes Power 28
Malaga Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

22

Mirandes Position

-16

Position Gap

6

Malaga Position
Home Win Rate: 25%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.