AI Match Insights

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Segunda División May 13, 2023

Malaga

Home
VS
19:00

Mirandes

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Malaga Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Mirandes Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 92%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 1.71 - 0.97
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 1.0 Position gap: 16 places
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Malaga Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Mirandes Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 0-0 (7%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 51%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%
Malaga Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 20 Malaga vs Zaragoza 3-0
Feb 12 Malaga vs Albacete 3-2
Jan 29 Malaga vs Sporting … 0-0
Jan 21 Malaga vs Burgos 1-1
Nov 19 Malaga vs Zaragoza 1-1
Nov 06 Malaga vs Sporting … 1-1
Sep 04 Malaga vs Albacete 1-2
Aug 27 Malaga vs Mirandes 1-3
Aug 14 Malaga vs Burgos 1-0
May 21 Malaga vs Burgos 0-1
Mirandes Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 30 Mirandes vs FC Andorra 0-1
Apr 23 Mirandes vs Burgos 2-1
Mar 20 Mirandes vs Eibar 2-3
Mar 12 Mirandes vs Sporting … 3-4
Jan 20 Mirandes vs Las Palmas 2-1
Oct 16 Mirandes vs Burgos 2-1
Oct 10 Mirandes vs Eibar 0-0
Oct 01 Mirandes vs Las Palmas 3-3
Sep 11 Mirandes vs FC Andorra 1-1
Aug 27 Mirandes vs Malaga 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Mirandes in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 27, 2022 Mirandes 1 - 3 Malaga Segunda Divisi…
Jan 30, 2022 Mirandes 3 - 0 Malaga Segunda Divisi…
Aug 16, 2021 Malaga 0 - 0 Mirandes Segunda Divisi…
Final Verdict

MASTER: Malaga to win (75% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 2-1 75% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_AWAY_25+ SCORING_THREAT_AWAY
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 16
Malaga Power 0
Mirandes Power 28
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Malaga Position

+16

Position Gap

22

Mirandes Position
Home Win Rate: 58%
Away Win Rate: 17%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.