AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paulista - A2 Feb 25, 2023

XV de Piracicaba

Home
VS
20:00

Monte Azul

Away
AI Predictions 62.0% Confidence
XV de Piracicaba Win
62.0%
Draw
21.6%
Monte Azul Win
16.4%
Home Win (62% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 77%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 1.72 - 0.90
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.9
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
XV de Piracicaba Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
7%
Monte Azul Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
41%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 2-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 0-0 (7%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Under 2.5 Goals 52%
XV de Piracicaba Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 08 XV de Pir… vs Oeste 1-1
Sep 16 XV de Pir… vs Água Santa 2-1
Sep 10 XV de Pir… vs Água Santa 1-1
Aug 12 XV de Pir… vs São Berna… 2-1
Jul 09 XV de Pir… vs São Berna… 0-2
Mar 30 XV de Pir… vs São Berna… 1-5
Mar 26 XV de Pir… vs São Berna… 1-0
Feb 19 XV de Pir… vs Oeste 1-2
Feb 16 XV de Pir… vs São Berna… 1-2
Feb 09 XV de Pir… vs Monte Azul 0-0
Monte Azul Form 5.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 09 Monte Azul vs XV de Pir… 0-0
Feb 06 Monte Azul vs Fluminense 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • XV de Piracicaba in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 09, 2022 Monte Azul 0 - 0 XV de Piracicaba Paulista - A2
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
XV de Piracicaba Power 0
Monte Azul Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

XV de Piracicaba Position

+2

Position Gap

10

Monte Azul Position
Home Win Rate: 25%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.