AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Copa Rio Oct 16, 2024

Maringá

Home
VS
17:45

Volta Redonda

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Maringá Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Volta Redonda Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 49%
xG: 1.43 - 0.29
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.3
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Maringá Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Volta Redonda Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
75%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (26%) 2-0 (18%) 0-0 (18%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (7%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Under 2.5 Goals 76%
Maringá Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 28 Maringá vs Portugues… 1-2
Aug 21 Maringá vs Portugues… 2-2
Mar 24 Maringá vs Corinthia… 0-0
Mar 17 Maringá vs Corinthia… 2-0
Feb 14 Maringá vs Corinthia… 2-2
Feb 08 Maringá vs Azuriz 1-1
Feb 01 Maringá vs Operário-… 0-1
Jan 20 Maringá vs Andraus B… 3-0
Jan 17 Maringá vs Aruko Spo… 3-0
Feb 08 Maringá vs Azuriz 3-0
Volta Redonda Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 12 Volta Red… vs Athletic … 1-0
Oct 09 Volta Red… vs Nova Igua… 2-1
Oct 05 Volta Red… vs São Berna… 1-2
Sep 28 Volta Red… vs Botafogo 2-1
Sep 25 Volta Red… vs Nova Igua… 1-1
Sep 21 Volta Red… vs Remo 1-1
Sep 15 Volta Red… vs Remo 0-0
Sep 08 Volta Red… vs Botafogo 0-0
Sep 01 Volta Red… vs São Berna… 3-1
Aug 24 Volta Red… vs Figueiren… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Volta Redonda in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 12, 2022 Volta Redonda 2 - 0 Maringá Carioca A2
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Maringá to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Maringá Power 0
Volta Redonda Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.