AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Acreano Feb 01, 2025

Independência

Home
VS
22:00

Rio Branco-VN

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Independência Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Rio Branco-VN Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 47%
xG: 1.26 - 0.61
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.6
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Independência Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Rio Branco-VN Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
54%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 0-0 (15%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (12%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Under 2.5 Goals 71%
Independência Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 25 Independê… vs São Franc… 4-1
Apr 21 Independê… vs Rio Branc… 1-0
Apr 14 Independê… vs Humaitá 2-1
Apr 06 Independê… vs Rio Branc… 2-2
Apr 30 Independê… vs São Franc… 4-2
Apr 27 Independê… vs Humaitá 4-2
Apr 23 Independê… vs Rio Branc… 2-0
Mar 21 Independê… vs Rio Branc… 0-1
Mar 15 Independê… vs Humaitá 2-0
Mar 29 Independê… vs São Franc… 2-0
Rio Branco-VN Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 29 Rio Branc… vs XV de Jau 0-2
Jan 28 Rio Branc… vs Porto Vit… 1-1
Jan 26 Rio Branc… vs Real Noro… 1-2
Jan 26 Rio Branc… vs Rio Preto 1-1
Jan 25 Rio Branc… vs Desportiv… 0-0
Jan 25 Rio Branc… vs São Franc… 2-0
Jan 19 Rio Branc… vs Vilavelhe… 1-1
Aug 15 Rio Branc… vs Capixaba … 0-0
Jul 30 Rio Branc… vs Desportiv… 1-0
Jul 16 Rio Branc… vs Desportiv… 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Independência in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 21, 2024 Independência 1 - 0 Rio Branco-VN Acreano
Apr 06, 2024 Independência 2 - 2 Rio Branco-VN Acreano
Apr 23, 2023 Rio Branco-VN 2 - 0 Independência Acreano
Mar 21, 2023 Rio Branco-VN 0 - 1 Independência Acreano
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Independência to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 91
Independência Power 0
Rio Branco-VN Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.