AI Match Insights
Ligi kuu Bara Dec 18, 2022
Mbeya City FC
HomeVS
11:00
Dodoma Jiji
AwayAI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Mbeya City FC Win
Draw
Dodoma Jiji Win
Home Win
(55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
40%
Market
50%
Combined: 58%
Draw Risk: 24%
xG: 4.50 - 0.30
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.3
Score Prediction Analysis
Mbeya City FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Dodoma Jiji Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (12%)
2-0 (8%)
3-1 (4%)
1-0 (4%)
2-1 (2%)
1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
Mbeya City FC Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 13 | Mbeya Cit… vs Coastal U… | 2-2 |
| Oct 02 | Mbeya Cit… vs Mtibwa Su… | 2-2 |
| Aug 17 | Mbeya Cit… vs Dodoma Ji… | 1-3 |
| May 24 | Mbeya Cit… vs Coastal U… | 0-1 |
| May 07 | Mbeya Cit… vs Mtibwa Su… | 1-0 |
| Apr 23 | Mbeya Cit… vs Dodoma Ji… | 2-1 |
| Dec 24 | Mbeya Cit… vs Coastal U… | 3-2 |
| Dec 06 | Mbeya Cit… vs Dodoma Ji… | 2-0 |
| Nov 20 | Mbeya Cit… vs Mtibwa Su… | 3-1 |
| Jun 18 | Mbeya Cit… vs Coastal U… | 2-0 |
Dodoma Jiji Form 0.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 26 | Dodoma Ji… vs Namungo | 0-1 |
| Nov 22 | Dodoma Ji… vs Young Afr… | 0-2 |
| Nov 09 | Dodoma Ji… vs Azam | 2-1 |
| Oct 02 | Dodoma Ji… vs Simba | 3-0 |
| Aug 20 | Dodoma Ji… vs Tanzania … | 1-2 |
| Aug 17 | Dodoma Ji… vs Mbeya Cit… | 1-3 |
| Jun 25 | Dodoma Ji… vs Azam | 0-2 |
| May 23 | Dodoma Ji… vs Namungo | 1-0 |
| May 15 | Dodoma Ji… vs Young Afr… | 0-2 |
| Apr 23 | Dodoma Ji… vs Mbeya Cit… | 2-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Dodoma Jiji struggling (5L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2022 | Dodoma Jiji | 1 - 3 | Mbeya City FC | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Apr 23, 2022 | Dodoma Jiji | 2 - 1 | Mbeya City FC | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Dec 06, 2021 | Mbeya City FC | 2 - 0 | Dodoma Jiji | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Mar 09, 2021 | Mbeya City FC | 1 - 1 | Dodoma Jiji | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 16, 2020 | Dodoma Jiji | 0 - 0 | Mbeya City FC | Ligi kuu Bara |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Mbeya City FC Power
0
Dodoma Jiji Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
13
Mbeya City FC Position-5
Position Gap8
Dodoma Jiji Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 13%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.