AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligi kuu Bara Aug 17, 2022

Dodoma Jiji

Home
VS
13:00

Mbeya City FC

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Dodoma Jiji Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Mbeya City FC Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 61%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 2.16 - 0.53
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.5 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Dodoma Jiji Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
11%
Mbeya City FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
59%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (16%) 1-0 (15%) 3-0 (11%) 2-1 (8%) 1-1 (8%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 36%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Under 2.5 Goals 52%
Dodoma Jiji Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 25 Dodoma Ji… vs Azam 0-2
May 23 Dodoma Ji… vs Namungo 1-0
May 15 Dodoma Ji… vs Young Afr… 0-2
Apr 23 Dodoma Ji… vs Mbeya Cit… 2-1
Apr 04 Dodoma Ji… vs Tanzania … 3-2
Mar 07 Dodoma Ji… vs Simba 2-0
Feb 04 Dodoma Ji… vs Azam 2-0
Dec 31 Dodoma Ji… vs Young Afr… 4-0
Dec 22 Dodoma Ji… vs Namungo 1-2
Dec 06 Dodoma Ji… vs Mbeya Cit… 2-0
Mbeya City FC Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
May 24 Mbeya Cit… vs Coastal U… 0-1
May 07 Mbeya Cit… vs Mtibwa Su… 1-0
Apr 23 Mbeya Cit… vs Dodoma Ji… 2-1
Dec 24 Mbeya Cit… vs Coastal U… 3-2
Dec 06 Mbeya Cit… vs Dodoma Ji… 2-0
Nov 20 Mbeya Cit… vs Mtibwa Su… 3-1
Jun 18 Mbeya Cit… vs Coastal U… 2-0
May 18 Mbeya Cit… vs Mtibwa Su… 2-0
Mar 09 Mbeya Cit… vs Dodoma Ji… 1-1
Dec 05 Mbeya Cit… vs Coastal U… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Dodoma Jiji struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Mbeya City FC struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 23, 2022 Dodoma Jiji 2 - 1 Mbeya City FC Ligi kuu Bara
Dec 06, 2021 Mbeya City FC 2 - 0 Dodoma Jiji Ligi kuu Bara
Mar 09, 2021 Mbeya City FC 1 - 1 Dodoma Jiji Ligi kuu Bara
Oct 16, 2020 Dodoma Jiji 0 - 0 Mbeya City FC Ligi kuu Bara
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Dodoma Jiji to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Dodoma Jiji Power 0
Mbeya City FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Dodoma Jiji Position

+5

Position Gap

13

Mbeya City FC Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 29%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.