AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligi kuu Bara Apr 23, 2022

Dodoma Jiji

Home
VS
16:00

Mbeya City FC

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Dodoma Jiji Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Mbeya City FC Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 61%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 1.50 - 0.25
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.2 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Dodoma Jiji Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Mbeya City FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
78%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (26%) 2-0 (20%) 0-0 (17%) 3-0 (10%) 1-1 (7%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Under 2.5 Goals 75%
Dodoma Jiji Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 04 Dodoma Ji… vs Tanzania … 3-2
Mar 07 Dodoma Ji… vs Simba 2-0
Feb 04 Dodoma Ji… vs Azam 2-0
Dec 31 Dodoma Ji… vs Young Afr… 4-0
Dec 22 Dodoma Ji… vs Namungo 1-2
Dec 06 Dodoma Ji… vs Mbeya Cit… 2-0
Oct 24 Dodoma Ji… vs Tanzania … 2-1
Oct 01 Dodoma Ji… vs Simba 0-1
Jul 18 Dodoma Ji… vs Young Afr… 0-0
Apr 27 Dodoma Ji… vs Simba 3-1
Mbeya City FC Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 24 Mbeya Cit… vs Coastal U… 3-2
Dec 06 Mbeya Cit… vs Dodoma Ji… 2-0
Nov 20 Mbeya Cit… vs Mtibwa Su… 3-1
Jun 18 Mbeya Cit… vs Coastal U… 2-0
May 18 Mbeya Cit… vs Mtibwa Su… 2-0
Mar 09 Mbeya Cit… vs Dodoma Ji… 1-1
Dec 05 Mbeya Cit… vs Coastal U… 0-0
Nov 28 Mbeya Cit… vs Mtibwa Su… 0-0
Oct 16 Mbeya Cit… vs Dodoma Ji… 0-0
Jul 06 Mbeya Cit… vs Coastal U… 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Mbeya City FC in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Dodoma Jiji struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 06, 2021 Mbeya City FC 2 - 0 Dodoma Jiji Ligi kuu Bara
Mar 09, 2021 Mbeya City FC 1 - 1 Dodoma Jiji Ligi kuu Bara
Oct 16, 2020 Dodoma Jiji 0 - 0 Mbeya City FC Ligi kuu Bara
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Dodoma Jiji to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Dodoma Jiji Power 0
Mbeya City FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Dodoma Jiji Position

+5

Position Gap

13

Mbeya City FC Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 29%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.