AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Women Oct 08, 2023

Fiorentina Women

Home
VS
10:30

Napoli Women

Away
AI Predictions 67.0% Confidence
Fiorentina Women Win
67.0%
Draw
20.6%
Napoli Women Win
12.4%
Home Win (67% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 55%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 1.42 - 0.59
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.6
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Fiorentina Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Napoli Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 2-0 (14%) 0-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (8%) 0-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 34%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Under 2.5 Goals 68%
Fiorentina Women Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 10 Fiorentin… vs Parma Wom… 0-4
Dec 04 Fiorentin… vs Como Women 2-3
Sep 18 Fiorentin… vs Parma Wom… 2-1
Sep 11 Fiorentin… vs Como Women 2-1
Feb 26 Fiorentin… vs Lazio Wom… 2-2
Feb 06 Fiorentin… vs Napoli Wo… 0-2
Sep 26 Fiorentin… vs Lazio Wom… 1-6
Sep 12 Fiorentin… vs Napoli Wo… 1-0
Feb 07 Fiorentin… vs Napoli Wo… 2-0
Aug 30 Fiorentin… vs Napoli Wo… 2-5
Napoli Women Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 01 Napoli Wo… vs AC Milan … 0-1
Sep 17 Napoli Wo… vs Como Women 2-1
Apr 24 Napoli Wo… vs Sassuolo … 0-0
Mar 19 Napoli Wo… vs Juventus … 0-2
Mar 06 Napoli Wo… vs AC Milan … 1-1
Feb 06 Napoli Wo… vs Fiorentin… 0-2
Jan 16 Napoli Wo… vs Inter Mil… 1-1
Nov 13 Napoli Wo… vs Sassuolo … 0-1
Oct 09 Napoli Wo… vs Juventus … 2-0
Oct 03 Napoli Wo… vs AC Milan … 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Fiorentina Women in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Napoli Women struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 06, 2022 Fiorentina Women 0 - 2 Napoli Women Serie A Women
Sep 12, 2021 Napoli Women 1 - 0 Fiorentina Women Serie A Women
Feb 07, 2021 Fiorentina Women 2 - 0 Napoli Women Serie A Women
Aug 30, 2020 Napoli Women 2 - 5 Fiorentina Women Serie A Women
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Fiorentina Women Power 0
Napoli Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Fiorentina Women Position

+1

Position Gap

7

Napoli Women Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.