AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Profesional Argentina Sep 28, 2024

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

Home
VS
20:30

Defensa y Justicia

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Defensa y Justicia Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 2.22 - 0.64
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.6
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Defensa y Justicia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
53%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (14%) 1-0 (13%) 3-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Under 2.5 Goals 48%
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 27 Estudiant… vs Boca Juni… 1-1
Aug 11 Estudiant… vs Independi… 0-2
Jul 17 Estudiant… vs Central C… 1-2
May 12 Estudiant… vs Tigre 0-1
May 08 Estudiant… vs Arsenal S… 1-0
Apr 30 Estudiant… vs Boca Juni… 1-1
Apr 13 Estudiant… vs Boca Juni… 1-0
Mar 29 Estudiant… vs Defensa y… 1-0
Feb 09 Estudiant… vs Tigre 2-0
Dec 14 Estudiant… vs Defensa y… 1-0
Defensa y Justicia Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 17 Defensa y… vs Independ.… 1-0
May 11 Defensa y… vs Huracan 3-1
Mar 29 Defensa y… vs Estudiant… 1-0
Mar 21 Defensa y… vs Atletico … 1-2
Feb 26 Defensa y… vs Deportivo… 1-1
Dec 14 Defensa y… vs Estudiant… 1-0
Nov 24 Defensa y… vs San Loren… 1-0
Nov 05 Defensa y… vs Estudiant… 2-1
May 14 Defensa y… vs Estudiant… 1-1
Sep 20 Defensa y… vs Estudiant… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Defensa y Justicia struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 29, 2024 Defensa y Justicia 1 - 0 Estudiantes de Rio … Copa de la Lig…
Dec 14, 2023 Estudiantes de Rio … 1 - 0 Defensa y Justicia Copa Argentina
Nov 05, 2023 Estudiantes de Rio … 2 - 1 Defensa y Justicia Copa de la Lig…
May 14, 2023 Defensa y Justicia 1 - 1 Estudiantes de Rio … Liga Profesion…
Sep 20, 2022 Estudiantes de Rio … 1 - 2 Defensa y Justicia Liga Profesion…
Oct 16, 2021 Defensa y Justicia 2 - 1 Estudiantes de Rio … Liga Profesion…
Dec 23, 2020 Defensa y Justicia 2 - 1 Estudiantes de Rio … Copa de la Sup…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Power 0
Defensa y Justicia Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

30

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Position

-16

Position Gap

14

Defensa y Justicia Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.