AI Match Insights

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Copa de la Liga Profesional Apr 08, 2024

River Plate

Home
VS
00:00

Rosario Central

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
River Plate Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Rosario Central Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 1.79 - 0.54
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.5
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
River Plate Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Rosario Central Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
58%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 2-0 (16%) 0-0 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Under 2.5 Goals 60%
River Plate Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 17 River Pla… vs Gimnasia … 3-1
Feb 25 River Pla… vs Boca Juni… 1-1
Feb 04 River Pla… vs Vélez Sar… 5-0
Feb 01 River Pla… vs Barracas … 0-2
Dec 23 River Pla… vs Rosario C… 0-2
Dec 10 River Pla… vs Rosario C… 0-0
Nov 11 River Pla… vs Rosario C… 3-1
Oct 29 River Pla… vs Gimnasia … 1-2
Sep 03 River Pla… vs Vélez Sar… 2-0
Aug 28 River Pla… vs Barracas … 5-1
Rosario Central Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 14 Rosario C… vs Independi… 1-0
Dec 23 Rosario C… vs River Pla… 0-2
Dec 10 Rosario C… vs River Pla… 0-0
Dec 04 Rosario C… vs Racing Cl… 2-2
Nov 11 Rosario C… vs River Pla… 3-1
Sep 20 Rosario C… vs Independi… 1-1
Jul 28 Rosario C… vs Belgrano … 0-0
Jul 24 Rosario C… vs River Pla… 3-3
Jul 15 Rosario C… vs Racing Cl… 1-1
Apr 13 Rosario C… vs Independi… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • River Plate in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 23, 2023 River Plate 0 - 2 Rosario Central Trofeo de Camp…
Dec 10, 2023 River Plate 0 - 0 Rosario Central Copa de la Lig…
Nov 11, 2023 Rosario Central 3 - 1 River Plate Copa de la Lig…
Jul 24, 2023 Rosario Central 3 - 3 River Plate Liga Profesion…
Oct 16, 2022 River Plate 1 - 2 Rosario Central Liga Profesion…
Nov 28, 2021 Rosario Central 2 - 2 River Plate Liga Profesion…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: River Plate to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
River Plate Power 0
Rosario Central Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.