AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Copa de la Liga Profesional Dec 10, 2023

River Plate

Home
VS
01:00

Rosario Central

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
River Plate Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Rosario Central Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 4.22 - 0.78
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.2 vs 0.8
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
River Plate Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
6%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
19%
Rosario Central Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-0 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 1-0 (3%) 3-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
River Plate Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 11 River Pla… vs Rosario C… 3-1
Oct 29 River Pla… vs Gimnasia … 1-2
Sep 03 River Pla… vs Vélez Sar… 2-0
Aug 28 River Pla… vs Barracas … 5-1
Jul 24 River Pla… vs Rosario C… 3-3
Jul 01 River Pla… vs Barracas … 2-1
May 30 River Pla… vs Vélez Sar… 2-2
Apr 13 River Pla… vs Gimnasia … 3-0
Jan 15 River Pla… vs Millonari… 2-0
Oct 16 River Pla… vs Rosario C… 1-2
Rosario Central Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 04 Rosario C… vs Racing Cl… 2-2
Nov 11 Rosario C… vs River Pla… 3-1
Sep 20 Rosario C… vs Independi… 1-1
Jul 28 Rosario C… vs Belgrano … 0-0
Jul 24 Rosario C… vs River Pla… 3-3
Jul 15 Rosario C… vs Racing Cl… 1-1
Apr 13 Rosario C… vs Independi… 1-0
Oct 16 Rosario C… vs River Pla… 1-2
Oct 01 Rosario C… vs Racing Cl… 4-3
Jul 16 Rosario C… vs Independi… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 11, 2023 Rosario Central 3 - 1 River Plate Copa de la Lig…
Jul 24, 2023 Rosario Central 3 - 3 River Plate Liga Profesion…
Oct 16, 2022 River Plate 1 - 2 Rosario Central Liga Profesion…
Nov 28, 2021 Rosario Central 2 - 2 River Plate Liga Profesion…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: River Plate to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
River Plate Power 0
Rosario Central Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.