AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Copa de la Liga Profesional Nov 11, 2023

Rosario Central

Home
VS
21:30

River Plate

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Rosario Central Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
River Plate Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 4.50 - 1.49
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.5
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Rosario Central Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
River Plate Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-2 (4%) 3-0 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 2-2 (3%) 2-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Rosario Central Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 20 Rosario C… vs Independi… 1-1
Jul 28 Rosario C… vs Belgrano … 0-0
Jul 24 Rosario C… vs River Pla… 3-3
Jul 15 Rosario C… vs Racing Cl… 1-1
Apr 13 Rosario C… vs Independi… 1-0
Oct 16 Rosario C… vs River Pla… 1-2
Oct 01 Rosario C… vs Racing Cl… 4-3
Jul 16 Rosario C… vs Independi… 0-0
Apr 23 Rosario C… vs Independi… 3-0
Nov 28 Rosario C… vs River Pla… 2-2
River Plate Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 29 River Pla… vs Gimnasia … 1-2
Sep 03 River Pla… vs Vélez Sar… 2-0
Aug 28 River Pla… vs Barracas … 5-1
Jul 24 River Pla… vs Rosario C… 3-3
Jul 01 River Pla… vs Barracas … 2-1
May 30 River Pla… vs Vélez Sar… 2-2
Apr 13 River Pla… vs Gimnasia … 3-0
Jan 15 River Pla… vs Millonari… 2-0
Oct 16 River Pla… vs Rosario C… 1-2
Sep 04 River Pla… vs Barracas … 2-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 24, 2023 Rosario Central 3 - 3 River Plate Liga Profesion…
Oct 16, 2022 River Plate 1 - 2 Rosario Central Liga Profesion…
Nov 28, 2021 Rosario Central 2 - 2 River Plate Liga Profesion…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Rosario Central to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Rosario Central Power 0
River Plate Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.