AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Profesional Argentina Jul 24, 2023

Rosario Central

Home
VS
00:00

River Plate

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Rosario Central Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
River Plate Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 92%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 3.74 - 1.87
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.7 vs 1.9
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Rosario Central Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
River Plate Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 2-2 (4%) 3-3 (3%) 3-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Under 2.5 Goals 27%
Rosario Central Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 15 Rosario C… vs Racing Cl… 1-1
Apr 13 Rosario C… vs Independi… 1-0
Oct 16 Rosario C… vs River Pla… 1-2
Oct 01 Rosario C… vs Racing Cl… 4-3
Jul 16 Rosario C… vs Independi… 0-0
Apr 23 Rosario C… vs Independi… 3-0
Nov 28 Rosario C… vs River Pla… 2-2
Oct 23 Rosario C… vs Racing Cl… 2-1
Aug 14 Rosario C… vs Independi… 1-2
Mar 08 Rosario C… vs Racing Cl… 1-0
River Plate Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 01 River Pla… vs Barracas … 2-1
May 30 River Pla… vs Vélez Sar… 2-2
Apr 13 River Pla… vs Gimnasia … 3-0
Jan 15 River Pla… vs Millonari… 2-0
Oct 16 River Pla… vs Rosario C… 1-2
Sep 04 River Pla… vs Barracas … 2-0
Jul 22 River Pla… vs Gimnasia … 1-0
Jul 17 River Pla… vs Vélez Sar… 2-2
Jul 14 River Pla… vs Barracas … 0-3
Jul 07 River Pla… vs Vélez Sar… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 16, 2022 River Plate 1 - 2 Rosario Central Liga Profesion…
Nov 28, 2021 Rosario Central 2 - 2 River Plate Liga Profesion…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Rosario Central Power 0
River Plate Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Rosario Central Position

-4

Position Gap

2

River Plate Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.