AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Nacional Feb 22, 2025

Lobos Upnfm

Home
VS
23:15

Olancho

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Lobos Upnfm Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Olancho Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 3.66 - 0.55
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.7 vs 0.6
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Lobos Upnfm Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Olancho Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
58%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (12%) 2-0 (10%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (5%) 1-0 (5%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Lobos Upnfm Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 13 Lobos Upn… vs Real Espa… 3-4
Jan 29 Lobos Upn… vs Juticalpa 1-0
Dec 01 Lobos Upn… vs Real Espa… 0-0
Nov 06 Lobos Upn… vs Juticalpa 3-0
Oct 26 Lobos Upn… vs CD Marath… 1-2
Oct 05 Lobos Upn… vs Olancho 4-0
Sep 28 Lobos Upn… vs CD Motagua 0-2
Sep 22 Lobos Upn… vs Real Espa… 1-0
Aug 31 Lobos Upn… vs Juticalpa 4-1
Aug 17 Lobos Upn… vs CD Marath… 2-0
Olancho Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 14 Olancho vs CD Marath… 2-0
Feb 02 Olancho vs CD Olimpia 2-1
Dec 15 Olancho vs CD Olimpia 3-0
Dec 12 Olancho vs CD Olimpia 1-1
Dec 09 Olancho vs CD Marath… 1-2
Dec 05 Olancho vs CD Marath… 1-2
Dec 01 Olancho vs CD Marath… 3-1
Nov 24 Olancho vs CD Olimpia 4-0
Oct 21 Olancho vs Real Espa… 1-1
Oct 05 Olancho vs Lobos Upn… 4-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Lobos Upnfm struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Olancho struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 05, 2024 Olancho 4 - 0 Lobos Upnfm Liga Nacional
Aug 03, 2024 Lobos Upnfm 1 - 0 Olancho Liga Nacional
Apr 06, 2024 Lobos Upnfm 0 - 1 Olancho Liga Nacional
Feb 10, 2024 Olancho 0 - 0 Lobos Upnfm Liga Nacional
Nov 11, 2023 Lobos Upnfm 2 - 2 Olancho Liga Nacional
Sep 17, 2023 Olancho 2 - 1 Lobos Upnfm Liga Nacional
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Lobos Upnfm Power 0
Olancho Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.