AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Nacional Oct 05, 2024

Olancho

Home
VS
23:15

Lobos Upnfm

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Olancho Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Lobos Upnfm Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 18%
xG: 3.88 - 0.44
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.9 vs 0.4
Score Prediction Analysis
Olancho Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
8%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
Lobos Upnfm Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (10%) 3-1 (6%) 1-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Olancho Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 23 Olancho vs CD Marath… 2-0
Sep 19 Olancho vs CD Olimpia 1-2
Aug 11 Olancho vs Real Espa… 3-1
Aug 03 Olancho vs Lobos Upn… 1-0
Apr 28 Olancho vs CD Marath… 2-1
Apr 14 Olancho vs CD Olimpia 1-0
Apr 06 Olancho vs Lobos Upn… 0-1
Mar 30 Olancho vs Real Espa… 1-1
Feb 18 Olancho vs CD Olimpia 0-0
Feb 10 Olancho vs Lobos Upn… 0-0
Lobos Upnfm Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 28 Lobos Upn… vs CD Motagua 0-2
Sep 22 Lobos Upn… vs Real Espa… 1-0
Sep 14 Lobos Upn… vs CD Olimpia 3-1
Aug 31 Lobos Upn… vs Juticalpa 4-1
Aug 17 Lobos Upn… vs CD Marath… 2-0
Aug 03 Lobos Upn… vs Olancho 1-0
Jul 27 Lobos Upn… vs CD Motagua 4-2
Apr 25 Lobos Upn… vs CD Olimpia 1-0
Apr 14 Lobos Upn… vs CD Motagua 4-0
Apr 06 Lobos Upn… vs Olancho 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Lobos Upnfm in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Olancho struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 03, 2024 Lobos Upnfm 1 - 0 Olancho Liga Nacional
Apr 06, 2024 Lobos Upnfm 0 - 1 Olancho Liga Nacional
Feb 10, 2024 Olancho 0 - 0 Lobos Upnfm Liga Nacional
Nov 11, 2023 Lobos Upnfm 2 - 2 Olancho Liga Nacional
Sep 17, 2023 Olancho 2 - 1 Lobos Upnfm Liga Nacional
Final Verdict

MASTER: Olancho to win (78% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 78% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 97
Olancho Power 0
Lobos Upnfm Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.