AI Match Insights

Liga Nacional Sep 17, 2023

Olancho

Home
VS
01:00

Lobos Upnfm

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Olancho Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Lobos Upnfm Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 1.79 - 1.16
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 1.2
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Olancho Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Lobos Upnfm Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (9%) 2-0 (8%) 1-2 (6%) 0-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 57%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Olancho Form 50%

No recent form data available

Lobos Upnfm Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 14 Lobos Upn… vs CD Olimpia 3-3
Aug 12 Lobos Upn… vs Real Espa… 2-1
Jul 30 Lobos Upn… vs CD Motagua 1-1
May 08 Lobos Upn… vs Real Espa… 2-0
Mar 02 Lobos Upn… vs CD Motagua 4-3
Jan 21 Lobos Upn… vs CD Motagua 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Lobos Upnfm struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

MASTER: Olancho to win (78% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 78% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 97
Olancho Power 0
Lobos Upnfm Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.