AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
CONMEBOL Sudamericana Mar 06, 2024

Everton de Vina

Home
VS
22:00

Union La Calera

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Everton de Vina Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Union La Calera Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 1.90 - 1.37
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 1.4
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Everton de Vina Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Union La Calera Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-0 (7%) 2-0 (7%) 1-2 (7%) 2-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Everton de Vina Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 02 Everton d… vs O'Higgins 2-1
Feb 25 Everton d… vs Deportes … 1-1
Dec 09 Everton d… vs Deportes … 2-0
Dec 02 Everton d… vs O'Higgins 0-2
Nov 23 Everton d… vs Palestino 0-2
Aug 13 Everton d… vs A. Italia… 0-1
Jul 16 Everton d… vs Union La … 1-2
May 16 Everton d… vs O'Higgins 1-1
Feb 27 Everton d… vs A. Italia… 3-1
Jan 28 Everton d… vs Union La … 3-2
Union La Calera Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 03 Union La … vs Deportes … 1-3
Dec 09 Union La … vs Universid… 0-3
Dec 01 Union La … vs Coquimbo … 1-2
Nov 24 Union La … vs Unión Esp… 4-0
Jul 16 Union La … vs Everton d… 1-2
May 21 Union La … vs Universid… 1-1
Jan 28 Union La … vs Everton d… 3-2
Oct 23 Union La … vs Universid… 4-0
Jul 24 Union La … vs Everton d… 0-1
May 13 Union La … vs Universid… 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Union La Calera in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Everton de Vina struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 16, 2023 Everton de Vina 1 - 2 Union La Calera Primera Divisi…
Jan 28, 2023 Union La Calera 3 - 2 Everton de Vina Primera Divisi…
Jul 24, 2022 Everton de Vina 0 - 1 Union La Calera Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Everton de Vina to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Everton de Vina Power 0
Union La Calera Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.