AI Match Insights

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Serie A May 11, 2024

Flamengo

Home
VS
19:00

Corinthians

Away
AI Predictions 67.0% Confidence
Flamengo Win
67.0%
Draw
20.6%
Corinthians Win
12.4%
Home Win (67% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 58%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 1.79 - 0.46
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.5 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Flamengo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Corinthians Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 2-0 (17%) 0-0 (11%) 3-0 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Under 2.5 Goals 62%
Flamengo Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 18 Flamengo vs São Paulo… 2-1
Mar 17 Flamengo vs Fluminense 0-0
Mar 10 Flamengo vs Fluminense 0-2
Feb 25 Flamengo vs Fluminense 2-0
Feb 16 Flamengo vs Bangu 0-3
Feb 10 Flamengo vs Volta Red… 3-0
Feb 04 Flamengo vs Vasco DA … 0-0
Dec 07 Flamengo vs São Paulo… 1-0
Dec 03 Flamengo vs Cuiabá 2-1
Nov 29 Flamengo vs Atletico-… 0-3
Corinthians Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
May 05 Corinthia… vs Fortaleza 0-0
Apr 20 Corinthia… vs RB Bragan… 1-0
Apr 17 Corinthia… vs Juventude 2-0
Apr 07 Corinthia… vs Amazonas 1-0
Mar 24 Corinthia… vs Maringá 0-0
Mar 17 Corinthia… vs Maringá 2-0
Mar 15 Corinthia… vs Princesa … 2-1
Mar 09 Corinthia… vs Cianorte 2-0
Mar 03 Corinthia… vs Cianorte 0-4
Mar 03 Corinthia… vs São Raimu… 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Flamengo in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Corinthians struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 08, 2023 Corinthians 1 - 1 Flamengo Serie A
May 21, 2023 Flamengo 1 - 0 Corinthians Serie A
Nov 03, 2022 Flamengo 1 - 2 Corinthians Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Flamengo to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Flamengo Power 0
Corinthians Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

Flamengo Position

+5

Position Gap

19

Corinthians Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.