AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A May 21, 2023

Flamengo

Home
VS
19:00

Corinthians

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Flamengo Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Corinthians Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 58%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 1.96 - 0.41
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.4 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Flamengo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Corinthians Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (18%) 2-0 (18%) 3-0 (12%) 0-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 29%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Under 2.5 Goals 59%
Flamengo Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 23 Flamengo vs Internaci… 2-1
Feb 16 Flamengo vs Volta Red… 1-3
Jan 25 Flamengo vs Bangu 1-1
Nov 03 Flamengo vs Corinthia… 1-2
Oct 15 Flamengo vs Atletico-… 1-0
Oct 06 Flamengo vs Internaci… 0-0
Sep 04 Flamengo vs Ceará 1-1
Jun 12 Flamengo vs Internaci… 3-1
May 14 Flamengo vs Ceará 2-2
Mar 11 Flamengo vs Bangu 0-6
Corinthians Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
May 14 Corinthia… vs São Paulo… 1-1
May 14 Corinthia… vs Athletico… 3-2
May 11 Corinthia… vs Botafogo 3-0
May 08 Corinthia… vs Fortaleza 1-1
Apr 16 Corinthia… vs Cruzeiro 2-1
Mar 18 Corinthia… vs Princesa … 1-1
Mar 14 Corinthia… vs Princesa … 1-1
Mar 11 Corinthia… vs Cascavel 0-0
Mar 05 Corinthia… vs Cascavel 3-1
Feb 26 Corinthia… vs Princesa … 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 03, 2022 Flamengo 1 - 2 Corinthians Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Flamengo to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Flamengo Power 0
Corinthians Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

Flamengo Position

+5

Position Gap

19

Corinthians Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.