AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Capixaba Jan 30, 2022

Rio Branco-VN

Home
VS
18:00

Vilavelhense

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Rio Branco-VN Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Vilavelhense Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 38%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 4.50 - 1.83
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.8
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Rio Branco-VN Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Vilavelhense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
8%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (5%) 3-2 (5%) 2-1 (3%) 2-2 (3%) 3-3 (3%) 3-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
Rio Branco-VN Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 30 Rio Branc… vs Galvez 1-3
Aug 19 Rio Branc… vs Galvez 1-2
Jul 17 Rio Branc… vs Vasco DA … 2-1
Jul 10 Rio Branc… vs São Franc… 2-2
May 23 Rio Branc… vs Real Noro… 1-1
May 20 Rio Branc… vs Real Noro… 0-0
May 08 Rio Branc… vs Desportiv… 2-0
Apr 27 Rio Branc… vs Real Noro… 1-2
Apr 10 Rio Branc… vs Real Noro… 3-0
Apr 10 Rio Branc… vs Vilavelhe… 1-1
Vilavelhense Form 7.5%
Date Match Result
May 01 Vilavelhe… vs Real Noro… 2-3
Apr 10 Vilavelhe… vs Rio Branc… 1-1
Mar 07 Vilavelhe… vs Rio Branc… 1-3
Feb 28 Vilavelhe… vs Desportiv… 4-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 10, 2021 Vilavelhense 1 - 1 Rio Branco-VN Capixaba
Mar 07, 2021 Vilavelhense 1 - 3 Rio Branco-VN Capixaba
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Rio Branco-VN Power 0
Vilavelhense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Rio Branco-VN Position

-6

Position Gap

4

Vilavelhense Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.