AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Oct 20, 2024

Junior

Home
VS
22:45

Deportivo Pasto

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Junior Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Deportivo Pasto Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 1.77 - 0.31
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.3
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Junior Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Deportivo Pasto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
73%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 2-0 (20%) 0-0 (12%) 3-0 (12%) 1-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 22%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Under 2.5 Goals 66%
Junior Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 03 Junior vs Independi… 2-0
Sep 27 Junior vs Atlético … 2-0
Sep 11 Junior vs Independi… 2-0
Sep 02 Junior vs Santa Fe 1-1
Aug 29 Junior vs Deportivo… 1-0
Aug 25 Junior vs Deportes … 0-1
Aug 07 Junior vs Delfín SC 1-1
Jul 28 Junior vs Independi… 0-0
Jun 10 Junior vs La Equida… 4-3
Jun 02 Junior vs Millonari… 2-0
Deportivo Pasto Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 18 Deportivo… vs Bucaraman… 1-2
Oct 17 Deportivo… vs America d… 2-0
Oct 14 Deportivo… vs Once Cald… 2-1
Oct 14 Deportivo… vs Rionegro … 1-1
Oct 04 Deportivo… vs Santa Fe 1-1
Oct 03 Deportivo… vs Deportes … 1-1
Sep 25 Deportivo… vs Fortaleza… 3-2
Sep 18 Deportivo… vs Fortaleza… 1-0
Sep 18 Deportivo… vs Deportes … 1-2
Sep 15 Deportivo… vs Fortaleza… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Junior struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Deportivo Pasto struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 29, 2024 Deportivo Pasto 1 - 0 Junior Primera A
May 23, 2024 Deportivo Pasto 0 - 0 Junior Primera A
May 19, 2024 Junior 2 - 3 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Feb 26, 2024 Deportivo Pasto 3 - 3 Junior Primera A
Feb 08, 2024 Junior 2 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Dec 03, 2023 Deportivo Pasto 0 - 2 Junior Primera A
Nov 19, 2023 Junior 3 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Oct 25, 2023 Deportivo Pasto 0 - 2 Junior Primera A
Aug 13, 2023 Junior 0 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
May 14, 2023 Junior 0 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Junior Power 0
Deportivo Pasto Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Junior Position

-11

Position Gap

1

Deportivo Pasto Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.