AI Match Insights
Professional Development League Apr 04, 2025
Colchester United U21
HomeVS
13:00
Swansea City U21
AwayAI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Colchester United U21 Win
Draw
Swansea City U21 Win
Away Win
(38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
88%
Standings
44%
Market
50%
Combined: 49%
Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 2.40 - 0.78
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 0.8
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Colchester United U21 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Swansea City U21 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (12%)
1-0 (10%)
3-0 (10%)
2-1 (9%)
1-1 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
49%
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
Colchester United U21 Form 2.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 25 | Colcheste… vs Millwall … | 0-1 |
| Mar 15 | Colcheste… vs Cardiff C… | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Colcheste… vs Charlton … | 8-1 |
| Feb 17 | Colcheste… vs Bristol C… | 3-0 |
| Feb 07 | Colcheste… vs Watford U… | 0-3 |
| Jan 31 | Colcheste… vs Preston N… | 2-1 |
| Jan 28 | Colcheste… vs Queens Pa… | 7-0 |
| Jan 17 | Colcheste… vs AFC Bourn… | 0-4 |
| Jan 06 | Colcheste… vs Swansea C… | 4-1 |
| Dec 23 | Colcheste… vs Bristol C… | 4-2 |
Swansea City U21 Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28 | Swansea C… vs AFC Bourn… | 4-0 |
| Mar 24 | Swansea C… vs Charlton … | 3-1 |
| Mar 17 | Swansea C… vs Watford U… | 1-3 |
| Mar 03 | Swansea C… vs Brentford… | 3-0 |
| Jan 24 | Swansea C… vs Millwall … | 5-0 |
| Jan 20 | Swansea C… vs Millwall … | 3-4 |
| Jan 06 | Swansea C… vs Colcheste… | 4-1 |
| Dec 20 | Swansea C… vs Charlton … | 3-1 |
| Dec 09 | Swansea C… vs Watford U… | 1-3 |
| Nov 18 | Swansea C… vs Brentford… | 3-3 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Colchester United U21 struggling (4L in last 5) Home
- Swansea City U21 struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 06, 2025 | Swansea City U21 | 4 - 1 | Colchester United U… | Professional D… |
| Jan 12, 2024 | Colchester United U… | 1 - 2 | Swansea City U21 | Professional D… |
| Dec 01, 2023 | Swansea City U21 | 4 - 1 | Colchester United U… | Professional D… |
| Feb 28, 2023 | Colchester United U… | 3 - 4 | Swansea City U21 | Professional D… |
| Oct 03, 2022 | Swansea City U21 | 4 - 1 | Colchester United U… | Professional D… |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Swansea City U21 to win (63% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-2
63% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
POWER_AWAY_15+
SCORING_THREAT_AWAY
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Colchester United U21 Power
21
Swansea City U21 Power
44
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
10
Colchester United U21 Position-3
Position Gap7
Swansea City U21 Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 43%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.