AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Copa Santa Catarina Sep 10, 2023

MarcĂ­lio Dias

Home
VS
18:00

Joinville

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
MarcĂ­lio Dias Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Joinville Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 50%
xG: 1.75 - 0.24
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.2
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
MarcĂ­lio Dias Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Joinville Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
79%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 2-0 (21%) 0-0 (14%) 3-0 (12%) 1-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Under 2.5 Goals 69%
MarcĂ­lio Dias Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 02 Marcílio … vs Chapecoen… 1-2
Apr 12 Marcílio … vs São Berna… 0-0
Mar 29 Marcílio … vs São Berna… 1-2
Mar 18 Marcílio … vs Jataiense 3-0
Feb 25 Marcílio … vs Barra 3-1
Feb 21 Marcílio … vs Chapecoen… 1-0
Feb 18 Marcílio … vs São Berna… 1-0
Feb 12 Marcílio … vs Chapecoen… 3-0
Feb 09 Marcílio … vs Figueiren… 2-1
Jan 20 Marcílio … vs Bandeiran… 2-0
Joinville Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 31 Joinville vs Figueiren… 1-3
Feb 18 Joinville vs Chapecoen… 1-1
Feb 12 Joinville vs CriciĂşma 1-1
Feb 05 Joinville vs Barra 0-0
Jan 21 Joinville vs Figueiren… 1-1
Jan 19 Joinville vs Marcílio … 0-0
Mar 05 Joinville vs Barra 1-2
Feb 10 Joinville vs Chapecoen… 2-1
Feb 06 Joinville vs Marcílio … 3-0
Jan 23 Joinville vs Figueiren… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 19, 2023 Joinville 0 - 0 MarcĂ­lio Dias Catarinense - 1
Feb 06, 2022 MarcĂ­lio Dias 3 - 0 Joinville Catarinense - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: MarcĂ­lio Dias to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
MarcĂ­lio Dias Power 0
Joinville Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.