AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Aug 29, 2024

Deportivo Pasto

Home
VS
01:30

Junior

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Deportivo Pasto Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Junior Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 87%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 1.99 - 0.97
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 1.0 Position gap: 11 places
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Deportivo Pasto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Junior Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (10%) 2-0 (10%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Deportivo Pasto Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 24 Deportivo… vs Bucaraman… 1-2
Aug 21 Deportivo… vs Santa Fe 1-3
Aug 13 Deportivo… vs Fortaleza… 1-0
Aug 05 Deportivo… vs Independi… 2-0
Jul 23 Deportivo… vs Independi… 1-1
Jun 26 Deportivo… vs Deportivo… 0-1
Jun 25 Deportivo… vs Deportivo… 2-2
May 23 Deportivo… vs Junior 0-0
May 19 Deportivo… vs Junior 2-3
May 16 Deportivo… vs Fortaleza… 1-0
Junior Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 25 Junior vs Deportes … 0-1
Aug 07 Junior vs Delfín SC 1-1
Jul 28 Junior vs Independi… 0-0
Jun 10 Junior vs La Equida… 4-3
Jun 02 Junior vs Millonari… 2-0
May 26 Junior vs Santa Fe … 3-2
May 23 Junior vs Deportivo… 0-0
May 19 Junior vs Deportivo… 2-3
May 05 Junior vs Millonari… 2-1
Apr 17 Junior vs Millonari… 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Deportivo Pasto struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 23, 2024 Deportivo Pasto 0 - 0 Junior Primera A
May 19, 2024 Junior 2 - 3 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Feb 26, 2024 Deportivo Pasto 3 - 3 Junior Primera A
Feb 08, 2024 Junior 2 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Dec 03, 2023 Deportivo Pasto 0 - 2 Junior Primera A
Nov 19, 2023 Junior 3 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Oct 25, 2023 Deportivo Pasto 0 - 2 Junior Primera A
Aug 13, 2023 Junior 0 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
May 14, 2023 Junior 0 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Feb 19, 2023 Deportivo Pasto 1 - 0 Junior Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Deportivo Pasto to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Deportivo Pasto Power 0
Junior Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Deportivo Pasto Position

+11

Position Gap

12

Junior Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.