AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Championship Jan 31, 2025

Falkirk

Home
VS
19:45

Livingston

Away
AI Predictions 44.4% Confidence
Falkirk Win
27.0%
Draw
28.6%
Livingston Win
44.4%
Away Win (44% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 2.48 - 0.80
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.8
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Falkirk Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Livingston Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (12%) 3-0 (10%) 1-0 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Falkirk Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 19 Falkirk vs Raith Rov… 1-2
Dec 02 Falkirk vs East Kilb… 1-3
Nov 16 Falkirk vs Livingston 1-0
Oct 08 Falkirk vs Livingston 0-0
Sep 22 Falkirk vs Celtic 5-2
Sep 07 Falkirk vs Stenhouse… 1-1
Aug 17 Falkirk vs Heart of … 2-0
Jul 13 Falkirk vs Dundee Utd 2-0
May 04 Falkirk vs Alloa Ath… 2-2
Apr 27 Falkirk vs Alloa Ath… 3-3
Livingston Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 18 Livingston vs Ross Coun… 2-3
Nov 30 Livingston vs Rangers FC 2-0
Nov 16 Livingston vs Falkirk 1-0
Nov 12 Livingston vs Morton 2-1
Oct 12 Livingston vs Inverness… 2-2
Oct 08 Livingston vs Falkirk 0-0
Sep 07 Livingston vs Spartans 0-2
Jul 06 Livingston vs Motherwell 2-1
May 19 Livingston vs Hibernian 1-1
May 15 Livingston vs Aberdeen 5-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Livingston in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
  • Falkirk struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 16, 2024 Livingston 1 - 0 Falkirk Championship
Oct 08, 2024 Falkirk 0 - 0 Livingston Championship
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Falkirk to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Falkirk Power 0
Livingston Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.