AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Stars League Aug 22, 2024

Al-Duhail

Home
VS
15:30

UMM Salal

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Al-Duhail Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
UMM Salal Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 64%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 2.07 - 0.34
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.3 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al-Duhail Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
UMM Salal Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
71%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (19%) 1-0 (19%) 3-0 (13%) 0-0 (9%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Under 2.5 Goals 59%
Al-Duhail Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 16 Al-Duhail vs Al-Rayyan 4-0
Aug 10 Al-Duhail vs Qatar SC 1-6
Apr 28 Al-Duhail vs Qatar SC 4-2
Apr 24 Al-Duhail vs UMM Salal 2-0
Apr 20 Al-Duhail vs Al-Bidda 1-1
Apr 13 Al-Duhail vs Shabab Al… 2-1
Mar 31 Al-Duhail vs Al-Rayyan 2-0
Mar 10 Al-Duhail vs Al Wakrah 2-1
Mar 09 Al-Duhail vs Al Mesaim… 1-0
Mar 05 Al-Duhail vs Al-Markhi… 0-0
UMM Salal Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 09 UMM Salal vs Al-Rayyan 3-1
May 14 UMM Salal vs Al-Dhafra 2-4
Apr 24 UMM Salal vs Al-Duhail 2-0
Apr 17 UMM Salal vs Al-Arabi … 2-1
Apr 07 UMM Salal vs Al-Dhafra 1-1
Mar 16 UMM Salal vs Al Wakrah 0-2
Mar 12 UMM Salal vs Al-Rayyan 2-2
Feb 29 UMM Salal vs Al Wahda … 1-2
Feb 24 UMM Salal vs Qatar SC 1-1
Jan 06 UMM Salal vs Al-Arabi … 4-4
Key Analysis Factors
  • UMM Salal in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 24, 2024 UMM Salal 2 - 0 Al-Duhail Stars League
Dec 01, 2023 Al-Duhail 0 - 1 UMM Salal Stars League
Apr 29, 2023 UMM Salal 1 - 2 Al-Duhail Stars League
Mar 28, 2023 UMM Salal 0 - 1 Al-Duhail QSL Cup
Jan 11, 2023 Al-Duhail 3 - 1 UMM Salal Stars League
Mar 02, 2022 Al-Duhail 6 - 1 UMM Salal Stars League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Al-Duhail to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al-Duhail Power 0
UMM Salal Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Al-Duhail Position

+5

Position Gap

11

UMM Salal Position
Home Win Rate: 38%
Away Win Rate: 14%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.