AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Stars League Apr 24, 2024

UMM Salal

Home
VS
15:30

Al-Duhail

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
UMM Salal Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Al-Duhail Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 2.15 - 0.40
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.4
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
UMM Salal Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Al-Duhail Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
67%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (18%) 1-0 (17%) 3-0 (13%) 0-0 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 29%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Under 2.5 Goals 55%
UMM Salal Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 17 UMM Salal vs Al-Arabi … 2-1
Apr 07 UMM Salal vs Al-Dhafra 1-1
Mar 16 UMM Salal vs Al Wakrah 0-2
Mar 12 UMM Salal vs Al-Rayyan 2-2
Feb 29 UMM Salal vs Al Wahda … 1-2
Feb 24 UMM Salal vs Qatar SC 1-1
Jan 06 UMM Salal vs Al-Arabi … 4-4
Jan 02 UMM Salal vs Al Wahda … 2-0
Dec 01 UMM Salal vs Al-Duhail 0-1
Nov 25 UMM Salal vs Al-Dhafra 1-2
Al-Duhail Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 20 Al-Duhail vs Al-Bidda 1-1
Apr 13 Al-Duhail vs Shabab Al… 2-1
Mar 31 Al-Duhail vs Al-Rayyan 2-0
Mar 10 Al-Duhail vs Al Wakrah 2-1
Mar 09 Al-Duhail vs Al Mesaim… 1-0
Mar 05 Al-Duhail vs Al-Markhi… 0-0
Mar 04 Al-Duhail vs Al Wahda … 7-2
Mar 01 Al-Duhail vs Al-Dhafra 1-4
Feb 22 Al-Duhail vs Al-Arabi … 1-1
Feb 12 Al-Duhail vs Al Sailiy… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al-Duhail struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 01, 2023 Al-Duhail 0 - 1 UMM Salal Stars League
Apr 29, 2023 UMM Salal 1 - 2 Al-Duhail Stars League
Mar 28, 2023 UMM Salal 0 - 1 Al-Duhail QSL Cup
Jan 11, 2023 Al-Duhail 3 - 1 UMM Salal Stars League
Mar 02, 2022 Al-Duhail 6 - 1 UMM Salal Stars League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
UMM Salal Power 0
Al-Duhail Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

UMM Salal Position

-5

Position Gap

6

Al-Duhail Position
Home Win Rate: 38%
Away Win Rate: 29%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.